Our partners at AccuScore.com, picked the Spurs over the Mavericks in the first round. I got to say, next time I may need to pay attention to the statistical breakdown. So after I incorrectly predicted the outcome of the Spurs surviving the first round, I have to give credit to AccuScore. Check out their Spurs vs. Mavericks series analysis recap.
By AccuScore.com
In our NBA First Round playoff preview we actually favored San Antonio (50.8%) to beat Dallas despite the Mavs being the heavy betting favorite, and the popular pick of the ESPN experts. The +10.1% difference between AccuScore’s probability and the betting line probability was by far the largest of any of the other first round playoff series. Every other series had under a 5% difference so in terms of making a strong pick in the first round of the NBA playoffs AccuScore’s was definitely San Antonio over Dallas.
|
MAVERICKS – SPURS |
DAL |
SA |
|
AccuScore Probability |
49.2% |
50.8% |
|
Betting Line |
-155 |
140 |
|
Betting Line Probability |
60.8% |
41.7% |
|
BL Prob Adjust for 100% |
59.3% |
40.7% |
|
Value Based Pick |
Spurs +10.1% |
|
