Our partners at AccuScore.com, picked the Spurs over the Mavericks in the first round. I got to say, next time I may need to pay attention to the statistical breakdown. So after I incorrectly predicted the outcome of the Spurs surviving the first round, I have to give credit to AccuScore. Check out their Spurs vs. Mavericks series analysis recap.
In our NBA First Round playoff preview we actually favored San Antonio (50.8%) to beat Dallas despite the Mavs being the heavy betting favorite, and the popular pick of the ESPN experts. The +10.1% difference between AccuScore’s probability and the betting line probability was by far the largest of any of the other first round playoff series. Every other series had under a 5% difference so in terms of making a strong pick in the first round of the NBA playoffs AccuScore’s was definitely San Antonio over Dallas.
MAVERICKS – SPURS
Betting Line Probability
BL Prob Adjust for 100%
Value Based Pick