What Being Up 3-2 Really Means

In NBA history, taking a 3-2 series lead in the playoffs does wonders for a team. In fact, there are many different scenarios to determine just how favored a team is.

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Here we have a percentage chart. Starting from the top, the note on the side states that when the series follows a Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Win for the home team (the San Antonio Spurs), overall the team ahead (again, the Spurs), win Game 6 55.6% of the time, and they win the series 91.1% of the time. The stats are also listed for the semifinals, aka the Western Conference Finals.

The stat block below is just the in-general 3-2 series lead for any team. When a team takes a 3-2 lead overall, that team wins 85.2% of the time. However, that team loses Game 6 only 55.9% of the time.

The next stat block details the playoff winning percentages for scenarios in the postseason. The numbers next to the winning percentage state, in order, appearances, wins and losses.

Lastly, some key stats based on (now, ahem, Bonner) important players in this series. For instance, when Green converts on three or more three-pointers, which he did 26 times in the regular and postseasons, the Spurs were victorious in 96.2% (25) of those contests.

The Spurs have the numbers on their sides. Now it’s just a matter of not thinking about that advantage, and acting like tomorrow is the last day of their basketball lives.

So, what do you say Spurs fans? Do the Spurs win in six? Seven? Get heartbroken in seven? Have a stat you want converted? Join the conversation.

(stats via and

Andrew Ball

About Andrew Ball

Andrew is a Texas A&M graduate and has written for ProjectSpurs since April 2014.