Spurs vs. Mavericks series recap by AccuScore

Our partners at AccuScore.com, picked the Spurs over the Mavericks in the first round. I got to say, next time I may need to pay attention to the statistical breakdown. So after I incorrectly predicted the outcome of the Spurs surviving the first round, I have to give credit to AccuScore.  Check out their Spurs vs. Mavericks series analysis recap.

By AccuScore.com

In our NBA First Round playoff preview we actually favored San Antonio (50.8%) to beat Dallas despite the Mavs being the heavy betting favorite, and the popular pick of the ESPN experts.  The +10.1% difference between AccuScore’s probability and the betting line probability was by far the largest of any of the other first round playoff series.  Every other series had under a 5% difference so in terms of making a strong pick in the first round of the NBA playoffs AccuScore’s was definitely San Antonio over Dallas.

MAVERICKS – SPURS

DAL

SA

AccuScore Probability

49.2%

50.8%

Betting Line

-155

140

Betting Line Probability

60.8%

41.7%

BL Prob Adjust for 100%

59.3%

40.7%

Value Based Pick

Spurs +10.1%

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